Saturday, September 04, 2004

Hold the Phone 

Now this is why we read Suburban Guerrilla every day without fail. Did you know that telephone polls are required by law to neglect a sizable percentage of African-American voters and up to a quarter of all voters under 25? We didn't either:
A phone / e-mail survey of 3,000 Michigan citizens found one of every four young people in the state report using their cell phones as their main phone, opting to decrease or eliminate their use of land-line connections. Commissioned by Ann Arbor nonprofit Cyberstate.org and conducted by Lansing-based polling firm Public Sector Consultants in April, the fifth annual report detailed a surge in wireless phones and wireless Internet connectivity.

The study showed 25 percent of respondents under the age of 25 only use a cell phone, while 21 percent of 25- to 34-year-olds rely solely on their cells. As a group, African Americans were three times as likely as whites to report their cell phone as their primary number, the study stated.

It was the first time the cell phone question was asked on the study since it was initiated in 1998. But Jeff Williams, vice president at Public Sector Consultants, said the cell phone numbers are likely a conservative estimate because pollsters by law may only contact traditional phone line users.
Question: What happens to Bush's convention bounce when those overwhelmingly pro-Kerry demographic groups are factored in?

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